Elon
CAA · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#44
+2.7 pts · likely #24–85
Strength of schedule
24.7
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
12.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
20.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Davidson | W 38-0 | −19.4 | +2.8 | 0.041 | 4 | +14.6 |
| 2 | at Rhode Island | L 10-31 | +6.1 | +2.8 | 0.498 | 2 | −9.2 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-21 | −0.6 | −2.8 | 0.200 | 3 | +0.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Maine · p 0.159
- Wk 5: at New Hampshire · p 0.292
- Wk 6: vs Wofford · p 0.235
- Wk 9: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.091
- Wk 10: vs Hampton · p 0.015
- Wk 11: vs Campbell · p 0.393
- Wk 12: at Towson · p 0.214
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Glenville StateDII · W 42-7