East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#42
+3.0 pts · likely #23–88
Strength of schedule
27.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
23.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 41.7%
Remaining SOS
33.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Campbell | L 37-49 | +5.0 | −2.8 | 0.323 | 2 | −7.4 |
| 3 | vs West Georgia | W 35-27 | +1.0 | −2.8 | 0.232 | 3 | +5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Western Carolina · p 0.469
- Wk 5: vs Chattanooga · p 0.383
- Wk 6: at The Citadel · p 0.155
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.049
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.660
- Wk 10: vs Samford · p 0.093
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.367
- Wk 12: at Mercer · p 0.528
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs TusculumDII · W 48-14
- Wk 2: at North CarolinaFBS · L 3-35