Central Arkansas
UAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#89
−4.7 pts · likely #55–109
Strength of schedule
34.7
#29 of 128
Strength of victory
56.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.611
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
43.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | W 36-24 | +8.7 | +2.8 | 0.569 | 1 | +16.3 |
| 1 | vs West Florida | L 14-42 | −4.1 | −2.8 | 0.140 | 3 | −28.9 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 9-27 | −0.2 | +2.8 | 0.332 | 2 | −13.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Abilene Christian · p 0.523
- Wk 7: at Tarleton State · p 0.765
- Wk 8: vs UTRGV · p 0.405
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.244
- Wk 10: vs West Georgia · p 0.213
- Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.343
- Wk 12: vs Austin Peay · p 0.577
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central OklahomaDII · W 59-20