Butler
Pioneer · 1-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#83
−2.7 pts · likely #37–107
Strength of schedule
44.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
4.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 16.7%
Remaining SOS
12.0
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana State | L 24-51 | +20.9 | +2.8 | 0.841 | 1 | −3.3 |
| 3 | vs Chicago State | W 47-20 | −13.9 | −2.8 | 0.041 | 4 | +7.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Valparaiso · p 0.040
- Wk 6: vs San Diego · p 0.094
- Wk 7: vs Dayton · p 0.198
- Wk 8: at Drake · p 0.128
- Wk 9: at Presbyterian · p 0.110
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.206
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.172
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.015
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Georgetown (KY)Non-NCAA · W 27-23
- Wk 2: vs FranklinDIII · W 52-0