Abilene Christian
UAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#29
+7.2 pts · likely #15–67
Strength of schedule
54.0
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
37.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 31.9%
Remaining SOS
38.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lamar | L 14-21 | +7.0 | +2.8 | 0.522 | 1 | +3.8 |
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 7-26 | +20.5 | −2.8 | 0.723 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 3 | at Idaho | W 41-39 | +1.4 | +2.8 | 0.374 | 2 | +6.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Mercer · p 0.378
- Wk 5: vs West Florida · p 0.267
- Wk 6: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.131
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.377
- Wk 9: vs West Georgia · p 0.213
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.765
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.717
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.216
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-33