Tarleton State
UAC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 33% of the time
Power
#6
+17.8 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
42.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
42.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
31.1
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | +10.1 | −2.3 | 0.468 | 2 | +24.3 |
| 2 | at McNeese | W 27-24 | +2.3 | +2.3 | 0.384 | 2 | +10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Merrimack · p 0.172
- Wk 5: vs Chicago State · p 0.045
- Wk 6: at Austin Peay · p 0.646
- Wk 7: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.200
- Wk 8: at West Georgia · p 0.306
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.215
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.385
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.503
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.327
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13