Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#20
+8.6 pts · likely #12–60
Strength of schedule
35.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
35.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
43.8
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 34-27 | +5.7 | −2.3 | 0.352 | 2 | +9.9 |
| 2 | vs Incarnate Word | W 38-28 | +5.7 | −2.3 | 0.352 | 2 | +11.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Utah Tech · p 0.198
- Wk 4: at Montana State · p 0.892
- Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.619
- Wk 6: vs Montana · p 0.646
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.143
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.554
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.429
- Wk 11: vs Weber State · p 0.262
- Wk 12: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.194
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 7-35