New Haven
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#120
−15.7 pts · likely #99–125
Strength of schedule
29.2
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
12.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.306
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
25.2
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stonehill | L 3-21 | −9.5 | −2.3 | 0.078 | 4 | −26.7 |
| 1 | vs Marist | W 22-21 | −5.6 | −2.3 | 0.126 | 3 | −9.2 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 14-57 | +13.2 | +2.3 | 0.672 | 1 | −18.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Brown · p 0.233
- Wk 4: at Merrimack · p 0.264
- Wk 5: at Austin Peay · p 0.646
- Wk 7: at Robert Morris · p 0.282
- Wk 8: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.242
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.188
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.122
- Wk 11: at Wagner · p 0.091
- Wk 12: at Mercyhurst · p 0.198