Illinois State
MVFC · 1-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#7
+17.8 pts · likely #2–28
Strength of schedule
21.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
21.2
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
48.1
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Western Illinois | W 41-10 | −5.1 | +2.3 | 0.212 | 3 | +24.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.153
- Wk 4: at Northern Iowa · p 0.475
- Wk 5: vs South Dakota State · p 0.578
- Wk 7: at Southern Illinois · p 0.552
- Wk 8: vs Indiana State · p 0.209
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.065
- Wk 10: at North Dakota · p 0.812
- Wk 11: at Youngstown State · p 0.815
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.673
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs St. Francis (IL)Non-NCAA · W 76-0
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 28-24