East Texas A&M
Southland · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#80
−2.6 pts · likely #48–103
Strength of schedule
47.2
#4 of 128
Strength of victory
3.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 22.2%
Remaining SOS
38.0
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 7-44 | +18.4 | +2.3 | 0.788 | 1 | −11.7 |
| 1 | at Mercer | L 15-23 | +10.1 | +2.3 | 0.591 | 1 | +2.7 |
| 2 | vs Northwestern State | W 38-14 | −15.3 | −2.3 | 0.035 | 4 | +3.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at McNeese · p 0.456
- Wk 5: vs UTRGV · p 0.334
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.254
- Wk 8: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.404
- Wk 9: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.303
- Wk 10: at Nicholls State · p 0.430
- Wk 11: at Lamar · p 0.545
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.313