Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#42
+4.0 pts · likely #19–84
Strength of schedule
28.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
28.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.333
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
42.5
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Idaho | W 38-34 | +2.8 | −2.3 | 0.283 | 2 | +4.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs San Diego · p 0.066
- Wk 4: at Eastern Washington · p 0.464
- Wk 5: vs Weber State · p 0.262
- Wk 6: at Idaho State · p 0.619
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.292
- Wk 8: vs Utah Tech · p 0.122
- Wk 9: at Montana State · p 0.892
- Wk 10: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.428
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.679
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 24-17
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 20-30