Villanova
Patriot · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#30
+6.5 pts · likely #14–70
Strength of schedule
23.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
13.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
31.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −9.3 | +2.2 | 0.137 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | +4.8 | −2.2 | 0.334 | 2 | +1.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Long Island · p 0.304
- Wk 4: vs Colgate · p 0.363
- Wk 5: vs Morgan State · p 0.150
- Wk 7: at Fordham · p 0.164
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.697
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.484
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.340
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.199
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.086