Tarleton State
UAC · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#2
+20.8 pts · likely #1–21
Strength of schedule
47.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
47.6
1 wins
Record SOS
1.000
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
30.6
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | +10.3 | −2.2 | 0.476 | 2 | +25.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 2: at McNeese · p 0.360
- Wk 3: vs Merrimack · p 0.095
- Wk 5: vs Chicago State · p 0.046
- Wk 6: at Austin Peay · p 0.604
- Wk 7: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.202
- Wk 8: at West Georgia · p 0.315
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.184
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.451
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.492
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.311
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13