Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#26
+7.3 pts · likely #13–72
Strength of schedule
33.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
33.8
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
42.8
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 34-27 | +5.0 | −2.2 | 0.338 | 2 | +9.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 2: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.355
- Wk 3: at Utah Tech · p 0.170
- Wk 4: at Montana State · p 0.884
- Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.517
- Wk 6: vs Montana · p 0.718
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.165
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.570
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.435
- Wk 11: vs Weber State · p 0.267
- Wk 12: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.195
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 7-35