Montana State
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#1
+24.4 pts · likely #1–11
Strength of schedule
16.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
16.2
2 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
39.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.151
- Wk 4: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.396
- Wk 5: at Idaho · p 0.416
- Wk 7: at Eastern Washington · p 0.433
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.267
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.323
- Wk 10: at Idaho State · p 0.517
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.286
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.718