Western Illinois
OVC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#100
−7.6 pts · likely #75–114
Strength of schedule
29.0
#78 of 129
Strength of victory
9.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.441
Opp. 41.5% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
26.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −24.3 | −2.4 | 0.008 | 4 | −5.9 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +1.7 | +2.4 | 0.369 | 2 | −15.2 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 23-31 | −7.2 | −2.4 | 0.104 | 3 | −16.5 |
| 6 | at Tennessee Tech | L 20-66 | +14.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.156
- Wk 12: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.260
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.382
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42