North Carolina Central
MEAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#30
+7.3 pts · likely #16–56
Strength of schedule
19.6
#113 of 129
Strength of victory
19.0
#52
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 41.2% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
18.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | L 10-27 | +2.9 | −2.4 | 0.283 | 2 | −13.9 |
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 31-14 | −17.3 | 0.0 | 0.037 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 4 | at North Carolina A&T | W 62-20 | −5.8 | +2.4 | 0.199 | 3 | +29.1 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | W 50-42 | +0.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Howard · p 0.194
- Wk 11: vs Norfolk State · p 0.042
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.320
- Wk 13: at Morgan State · p 0.201
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Old DominionFBS · L 6-54
- Wk 3: vs Fayetteville StateDII · W 49-19