Alabama State
SWAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#20
+10.0 pts · likely #10–46
Strength of schedule
20.8
#110 of 129
Strength of victory
12.7
#70
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 55.3% · Opp. opp. 46.9%
Remaining SOS
10.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −16.6 | +2.4 | 0.058 | 4 | +8.9 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | −8.6 | +2.4 | 0.150 | 3 | +20.6 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −3.4 | −2.4 | 0.159 | 3 | +11.1 |
| 7 | at Jackson State | L 34-38 | +7.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.242
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.121
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.038
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.023
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9