UC Davis
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 11% of the time
Power
#7
+16.7 pts · likely #4–22
Strength of schedule
35.6
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
35.6
#7
Record SOS
0.541
Opp. 51.0% · Opp. opp. 60.4%
Remaining SOS
45.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-24 | −3.6 | +2.2 | 0.241 | 3 | +6.5 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 50-34 | +8.2 | −2.2 | 0.418 | 2 | +21.3 |
| 5 | vs Weber State | W 34-12 | +1.3 | −2.2 | 0.249 | 3 | +20.5 |
| 6 | at Cal Poly | W 34-27 | +5.4 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.329
- Wk 10: vs Idaho State · p 0.228
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.416
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.905
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.504
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.463
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 10-70