Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#15
+13.7 pts · likely #7–31
Strength of schedule
36.3
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
31.4
#18
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 61.9%
Remaining SOS
35.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Abilene Christian | L 20-28 | +9.0 | +2.2 | 0.562 | 1 | +4.2 |
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 35-17 | +7.2 | −2.2 | 0.392 | 2 | +20.3 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 34-17 | −1.4 | −2.2 | 0.196 | 3 | +13.8 |
| 6 | at Incarnate Word | W 31-17 | +7.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at East Texas A&M · p 0.327
- Wk 10: vs UTRGV · p 0.254
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.113
- Wk 12: vs Lamar · p 0.371
- Wk 13: at Northwestern State · p 0.059
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.480
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.905
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at HoustonFBS · L 0-27
- Wk 3: vs Sul Ross StateDII · W 63-0