Indiana State
MVFC · 1-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#80
−3.3 pts · likely #53–103
Strength of schedule
57.5
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
13.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.675
Opp. 73.3% · Opp. opp. 55.9%
Remaining SOS
54.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 38-14 | −5.0 | −2.2 | 0.136 | 3 | +14.3 |
| 4 | at Montana | L 20-63 | +14.1 | +2.2 | 0.692 | 1 | −17.0 |
| 6 | at Southern Illinois | L 27-55 | +12.8 | +2.2 | 0.660 | 1 | −12.8 |
| 7 | vs South Dakota | L 14-19 | +10.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at North Dakota · p 0.804
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.884
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.367
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.576
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.084
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs McKendreeDII · W 41-24
- Wk 3: at IndianaFBS · L 0-73