Gardner-Webb
OVC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 62% of the time
Power
#74
−2.3 pts · likely #49–100
Strength of schedule
25.8
#92 of 129
Strength of victory
26.4
#28
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 52.7% · Opp. opp. 56.4%
Remaining SOS
31.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Western Carolina | W 52-45 | +8.0 | +2.2 | 0.534 | 1 | +15.9 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 23-13 | −0.7 | −2.2 | 0.210 | 3 | +6.1 |
| 6 | vs Charleston Southern | W 30-27 | −5.8 | −2.2 | 0.124 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 7 | at Eastern Illinois | W 21-10 | −6.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.317
- Wk 10: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.727
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.266
- Wk 12: at Tennessee State · p 0.167
- Wk 13: vs Western Illinois · p 0.084
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 12-59
- Wk 4: at OhioFBS · L 35-52