East Texas A&M
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#64
+0.2 pts · likely #36–89
Strength of schedule
30.9
#65 of 129
Strength of victory
31.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 54.7% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
38.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Grambling State | L 28-31 | −10.3 | +2.2 | 0.123 | 3 | −8.8 |
| 5 | vs North Carolina Central | L 42-50 | +9.4 | −2.2 | 0.450 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 6 | at Northwestern State | W 40-10 | −13.3 | +2.2 | 0.087 | 4 | +15.3 |
| 7 | vs Lamar | L 23-33 | +5.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.571
- Wk 10: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.720
- Wk 11: vs McNeese · p 0.197
- Wk 12: vs Houston Christian · p 0.065
- Wk 13: at UTRGV · p 0.360
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SMUFBS · L 13-42
- Wk 2: at Florida StateFBS · L 3-77