Austin Peay
UAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#28
+6.8 pts · likely #17–59
Strength of schedule
29.6
#75 of 129
Strength of victory
21.3
#40
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 43.6% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
37.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 56-7 | −18.0 | −2.2 | 0.023 | 4 | +14.1 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | L 31-45 | +9.1 | +2.2 | 0.563 | 1 | −1.8 |
| 5 | vs Utah Tech | W 42-10 | +0.5 | −2.2 | 0.233 | 3 | +27.0 |
| 6 | vs West Georgia | W 44-30 | +6.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.175
- Wk 10: at Southern Utah · p 0.522
- Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.276
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.051
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.861
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · W 34-14
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 6-28