Alabama State
SWAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#26
+7.6 pts · likely #14–57
Strength of schedule
25.2
#96 of 129
Strength of victory
12.6
#61
Record SOS
0.542
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
11.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −15.0 | +2.2 | 0.070 | 4 | +9.7 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | −8.9 | +2.2 | 0.144 | 3 | +19.4 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −3.1 | −2.2 | 0.166 | 3 | +11.1 |
| 7 | at Jackson State | L 34-38 | +11.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.149
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.218
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.116
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.051
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.020
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9