Youngstown State
MVFC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 62% of the time
Power
#23
+9.0 pts · likely #13–52
Strength of schedule
45.1
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
22.1
#33
Record SOS
0.547
Opp. 57.0% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
42.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 24-15 | −0.0 | −2.2 | 0.224 | 3 | +6.6 |
| 2 | vs Robert Morris | W 56-17 | −8.3 | −2.2 | 0.093 | 4 | +22.5 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 31-28 | +1.0 | +2.2 | 0.346 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 30-35 | +27.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Illinois State · p 0.483
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.069
- Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.948
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.621
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.181
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.309
- Wk 14: vs Yale · p 0.388
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Michigan StateFBS · L 24-41