Northwestern State
Southland · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−17.0 pts · likely #108–127
Strength of schedule
14.3
#121 of 129
Strength of victory
6.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.267
Opp. 18.8% · Opp. opp. 42.7%
Remaining SOS
42.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | W 20-10 | −11.6 | −2.2 | 0.061 | 4 | −5.2 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | L 24-27 | −5.3 | +2.2 | 0.206 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 6 | vs East Texas A&M | L 10-40 | −6.4 | −2.2 | 0.117 | 3 | −34.5 |
| 7 | at Houston Christian | L 17-20 | −6.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.686
- Wk 9: vs Lamar · p 0.390
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.205
- Wk 11: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.424
- Wk 12: at Nicholls State · p 0.287
- Wk 13: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.543
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 0-66
- Wk 3: at CincinnatiFBS · L 0-70