Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#65
−0.8 pts · likely #40–93
Strength of schedule
37.9
#36 of 129
Strength of victory
35.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.449
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
52.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +11.3 | +2.2 | 0.621 | 1 | +9.3 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −8.5 | +2.2 | 0.149 | 3 | −3.3 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | L 18-26 | −2.1 | −2.2 | 0.183 | 3 | −9.9 |
| 7 | at Idaho | W 49-33 | +9.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.656
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.634
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.852
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.497
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.388
- Wk 13: vs Portland State · p 0.129
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21