Nicholls State
Southland · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#70
−1.9 pts · likely #46–99
Strength of schedule
47.1
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
53.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.649
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
32.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +12.5 | −2.2 | 0.535 | 1 | +20.8 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +6.6 | −2.2 | 0.378 | 2 | −18.7 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-27 | +4.8 | +2.2 | 0.446 | 2 | −10.8 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 17-24 | +7.7 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.658
- Wk 9: vs McNeese · p 0.131
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.096
- Wk 11: at UTRGV · p 0.331
- Wk 12: vs Northwestern State · p 0.031
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.686
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 3-35