Mercer
Southern · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#12
+13.5 pts · likely #7–30
Strength of schedule
29.3
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
30.9
#16
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 50.3% · Opp. opp. 57.4%
Remaining SOS
29.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −0.4 | −2.2 | 0.217 | 3 | −4.8 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | −0.1 | −2.2 | 0.223 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | +3.1 | +2.2 | 0.401 | 2 | +36.2 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +8.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.039
- Wk 10: at Furman · p 0.308
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.497
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.173
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.462