Alabama State
SWAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#27
+8.2 pts · likely #13–54
Strength of schedule
26.8
#90 of 129
Strength of victory
14.2
#51
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 56.7%
Remaining SOS
9.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −12.8 | +2.2 | 0.092 | 4 | +11.7 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | −7.7 | +2.2 | 0.162 | 3 | +19.4 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −2.8 | −2.2 | 0.172 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 7 | at Jackson State | L 34-38 | +12.3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.144
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.177
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.111
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.048
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.017
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9