Yale
Ivy · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#35
+6.5 pts · likely #15–62
Strength of schedule
31.5
#65 of 129
Strength of victory
14.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 58.4%
Remaining SOS
44.1
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | W 28-10 | −1.2 | −2.3 | 0.198 | 3 | +13.0 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | W 41-24 | −7.9 | −2.3 | 0.096 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 6 | at Lehigh | L 13-31 | +12.3 | +2.3 | 0.651 | 1 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Dartmouth · p 0.446
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.095
- Wk 9: vs Penn · p 0.305
- Wk 10: vs Columbia · p 0.155
- Wk 11: at Brown · p 0.425
- Wk 12: at Princeton · p 0.312
- Wk 13: vs Harvard · p 0.716
- Wk 14: at Youngstown State · p 0.613
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.903