Western Illinois
OVC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#113
−10.3 pts · likely #83–121
Strength of schedule
28.9
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
1.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.398
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 31.9%
Remaining SOS
24.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −20.4 | −2.3 | 0.016 | 4 | −3.6 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +1.1 | +2.3 | 0.353 | 2 | −16.1 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 23-31 | −5.1 | −2.3 | 0.133 | 3 | −14.2 |
| 6 | at Tennessee Tech | L 20-66 | +12.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at UT Martin · p 0.422
- Wk 8: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.117
- Wk 9: at Tennessee State · p 0.135
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.245
- Wk 12: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.192
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.359
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42