Northwestern State
Southland · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−18.9 pts · likely #112–128
Strength of schedule
12.2
#121 of 129
Strength of victory
5.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.299
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 39.8%
Remaining SOS
38.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | W 20-10 | −12.2 | −2.3 | 0.055 | 4 | −6.4 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | L 24-27 | −5.4 | +2.3 | 0.207 | 3 | −7.9 |
| 6 | vs East Texas A&M | L 10-40 | −7.2 | −2.3 | 0.105 | 3 | −34.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.162
- Wk 8: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.698
- Wk 9: vs Lamar · p 0.350
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.221
- Wk 11: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.415
- Wk 12: at Nicholls State · p 0.282
- Wk 13: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.536
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 0-66
- Wk 3: at CincinnatiFBS · L 0-70