North Carolina Central
MEAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#30
+7.6 pts · likely #14–56
Strength of schedule
18.8
#109 of 129
Strength of victory
18.5
#31
Record SOS
0.421
Opp. 39.6% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
20.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | L 10-27 | −1.2 | −2.3 | 0.197 | 3 | −16.8 |
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 31-14 | −10.0 | 0.0 | 0.098 | 4 | +7.3 |
| 4 | at North Carolina A&T | W 62-20 | −6.7 | +2.3 | 0.183 | 3 | +27.3 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | W 50-42 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Florida A&M · p 0.214
- Wk 9: vs Delaware State · p 0.132
- Wk 10: at Howard · p 0.371
- Wk 11: vs Norfolk State · p 0.056
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.243
- Wk 13: at Morgan State · p 0.204
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Old DominionFBS · L 6-54
- Wk 3: vs Fayetteville StateDII · W 49-19