Norfolk State
MEAC · 0-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−11.7 pts · likely #88–123
Strength of schedule
15.9
#116 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.303
Opp. 27.5% · Opp. opp. 35.8%
Remaining SOS
28.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Towson | L 7-27 | +0.6 | −2.3 | 0.233 | 3 | −20.6 |
| 4 | vs Sacred Heart | L 28-31 | −4.3 | −2.3 | 0.144 | 3 | −10.2 |
| 5 | at Wagner | L 13-18 | −13.4 | +2.3 | 0.087 | 4 | −14.7 |
| 6 | at Hampton | L 34-41 | −7.2 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Wofford · p 0.353
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.243
- Wk 10: vs (N) Delaware State · p 0.170
- Wk 11: at North Carolina Central · p 0.505
- Wk 12: vs Morgan State · p 0.126
- Wk 13: vs (N) Howard · p 0.313
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Virginia StateDII · W 34-31
- Wk 3: at RutgersFBS · L 10-60