Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 0-4 vs FCS · 0-4 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−16.0 pts · likely #107–126
Strength of schedule
42.6
#18 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 43.0%
Remaining SOS
24.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | L 29-34 | −10.4 | −2.3 | 0.070 | 4 | −17.1 |
| 2 | at Tarleton State | L 3-59 | +21.2 | +2.3 | 0.839 | 1 | −12.7 |
| 3 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 3-56 | +13.7 | +2.3 | 0.685 | 1 | −18.3 |
| 5 | vs Texas Southern | L 20-23 | −6.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Alabama A&M · p 0.155
- Wk 9: at Alcorn State · p 0.074
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.170
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.548
- Wk 12: vs Alabama State · p 0.444
- Wk 13: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.172
- Wk 14: vs Florida A&M · p 0.133