Indiana State
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#80
−3.4 pts · likely #48–106
Strength of schedule
53.9
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
21.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.794
Opp. 91.7% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
57.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 38-14 | −0.4 | −2.3 | 0.213 | 3 | +17.8 |
| 4 | at Montana | L 20-63 | +12.0 | +2.3 | 0.642 | 1 | −17.6 |
| 6 | at Southern Illinois | L 27-55 | +17.1 | +2.3 | 0.762 | 1 | −8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota · p 0.447
- Wk 8: vs North Dakota State · p 0.889
- Wk 9: at North Dakota · p 0.736
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.902
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.388
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.613
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.065
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs McKendreeDII · W 41-24
- Wk 3: at IndianaFBS · L 0-73