Dayton
Pioneer · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#93
−6.2 pts · likely #62–114
Strength of schedule
9.9
#124 of 129
Strength of victory
6.2
#48
Record SOS
0.330
Opp. 20.8% · Opp. opp. 57.3%
Remaining SOS
16.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −5.3 | +2.3 | 0.209 | 3 | −11.4 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −9.9 | +2.3 | 0.130 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 48-14 | −24.7 | −2.3 | 0.007 | 4 | +4.8 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | W 35-28 | −17.8 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Valparaiso · p 0.025
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.105
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.322
- Wk 10: at San Diego · p 0.247
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.263
- Wk 13: at Davidson · p 0.024
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0