Bucknell
Patriot · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#78
−2.7 pts · likely #51–100
Strength of schedule
23.3
#99 of 129
Strength of victory
15.3
#38
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 59.0%
Remaining SOS
23.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Marist | W 34-23 | −8.4 | +2.3 | 0.153 | 3 | +3.5 |
| 3 | vs VMI | W 35-28 | −13.2 | −2.3 | 0.048 | 4 | −7.4 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | L 24-41 | +13.3 | −2.3 | 0.553 | 1 | −5.7 |
| 5 | vs Saint Francis | W 30-23 | −18.0 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Lafayette · p 0.391
- Wk 8: at Cornell · p 0.162
- Wk 9: vs Georgetown · p 0.106
- Wk 11: at Fordham · p 0.151
- Wk 12: vs Holy Cross · p 0.176
- Wk 13: at Colgate · p 0.431
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 13-49