Austin Peay
UAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#16
+11.4 pts · likely #9–39
Strength of schedule
32.4
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
26.1
#22
Record SOS
0.511
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 60.0%
Remaining SOS
36.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 56-7 | −16.6 | −2.3 | 0.029 | 4 | +15.4 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | L 31-45 | +7.2 | +2.3 | 0.515 | 1 | −1.6 |
| 5 | vs Utah Tech | W 42-10 | +0.0 | −2.3 | 0.221 | 3 | +26.5 |
| 6 | vs West Georgia | W 44-30 | +12.5 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.439
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.173
- Wk 10: at Southern Utah · p 0.507
- Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.179
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.053
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.827
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · W 34-14
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 6-28