Alabama State
SWAC · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 51% of the time
Power
#24
+8.8 pts · likely #11–53
Strength of schedule
19.6
#107 of 129
Strength of victory
19.6
#30
Record SOS
0.423
Opp. 27.8% · Opp. opp. 71.3%
Remaining SOS
19.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −8.7 | +2.3 | 0.149 | 3 | +15.7 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | +0.7 | +2.3 | 0.344 | 2 | +25.0 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −8.0 | −2.3 | 0.095 | 4 | +7.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Jackson State · p 0.670
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.120
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.172
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.102
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.062
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.014
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9