William & Mary
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#45
+4.0 pts · likely #23–72
Strength of schedule
26.2
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
13.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 53.5%
Remaining SOS
26.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | +0.2 | +2.6 | 0.336 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | −5.0 | −2.6 | 0.130 | 3 | −4.4 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −5.0 | −2.6 | 0.131 | 3 | +16.3 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +4.7 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.048
- Wk 8: vs Elon · p 0.373
- Wk 9: at New Hampshire · p 0.585
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.109
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.235
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.159
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.374
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55