Western Illinois
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#107
−8.6 pts · likely #73–120
Strength of schedule
16.4
#81 of 129
Strength of victory
2.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.227
Opp. 11.1% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
32.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −17.7 | −2.6 | 0.024 | 4 | −1.6 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +2.1 | +2.6 | 0.385 | 2 | −14.7 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 23-31 | −8.7 | −2.6 | 0.085 | 4 | −17.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.677
- Wk 7: at UT Martin · p 0.550
- Wk 8: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.087
- Wk 9: at Tennessee State · p 0.184
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.164
- Wk 12: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.220
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.409
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42