Wagner
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#120
−13.0 pts · likely #91–125
Strength of schedule
8.4
#95 of 129
Strength of victory
6.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.250
Opp. 19.4% · Opp. opp. 36.0%
Remaining SOS
17.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Georgetown | L 20-31 | −8.6 | +2.6 | 0.153 | 3 | −17.0 |
| 3 | vs Marist | L 10-21 | −14.8 | −2.6 | 0.037 | 4 | −25.9 |
| 5 | vs Norfolk State | W 18-13 | −11.0 | −2.6 | 0.063 | 4 | −9.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.213
- Wk 8: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.233
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.310
- Wk 10: at Saint Francis · p 0.063
- Wk 11: at Robert Morris · p 0.146
- Wk 12: vs Stonehill · p 0.086
- Wk 13: at Long Island · p 0.168
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 7-46
- Wk 4: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-49