Towson
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#44
+4.5 pts · likely #21–74
Strength of schedule
25.6
#61 of 129
Strength of victory
18.8
#21
Record SOS
0.380
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
29.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −10.4 | +2.6 | 0.127 | 3 | +10.9 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −4.7 | +2.6 | 0.226 | 3 | +3.4 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +10.1 | −2.6 | 0.460 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 5 | at Bryant | W 26-24 | −5.5 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Elon · p 0.373
- Wk 7: vs Monmouth · p 0.493
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.459
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.094
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.339
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.189
- Wk 13: vs Campbell · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44