Tennessee State
OVC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#97
−6.6 pts · likely #65–113
Strength of schedule
38.3
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
4.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 24.0%
Remaining SOS
25.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 24-21 | −14.2 | −2.6 | 0.040 | 4 | −12.5 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota State | L 3-59 | +30.4 | −2.6 | 0.900 | 1 | −7.2 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | L 21-23 | −5.7 | −2.6 | 0.120 | 3 | −9.5 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 8-35 | +10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.187
- Wk 7: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.337
- Wk 8: vs Howard · p 0.257
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.085
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.164
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.550
- Wk 12: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.281
- Wk 13: at Charleston Southern · p 0.156