Stony Brook
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#39
+5.3 pts · likely #21–68
Strength of schedule
23.1
#67 of 129
Strength of victory
16.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.588
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 34.7%
Remaining SOS
29.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +6.9 | −2.6 | 0.376 | 2 | −7.1 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −7.4 | −2.6 | 0.099 | 4 | +11.8 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | −5.2 | +2.6 | 0.215 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 35-10 | +0.9 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at UAlbany · p 0.189
- Wk 8: at Monmouth · p 0.630
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.322
- Wk 10: at Maine · p 0.267
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.048
- Wk 12: at Villanova · p 0.474
- Wk 13: vs Bryant · p 0.146
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42