St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#62
+0.2 pts · likely #34–93
Strength of schedule
37.2
#30 of 129
Strength of victory
24.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.617
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
22.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +1.5 | −2.6 | 0.248 | 3 | +17.1 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +10.2 | +2.6 | 0.602 | 1 | +4.6 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −2.8 | +2.6 | 0.265 | 2 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Butler · p 0.080
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.027
- Wk 8: vs Valparaiso · p 0.016
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.007
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.055
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.332
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.308
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.949
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7