Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#5
+18.3 pts · likely #3–22
Strength of schedule
55.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
55.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.639
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
45.0
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | W 37-10 | +14.5 | +2.6 | 0.709 | 1 | +38.2 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 59-31 | +2.7 | +2.6 | 0.401 | 2 | +30.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Indiana State · p 0.183
- Wk 7: at North Dakota State · p 0.949
- Wk 8: vs North Dakota · p 0.563
- Wk 9: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.251
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.118
- Wk 11: at Youngstown State · p 0.600
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.426
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.507
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 49-3
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 17-34